Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Salernitana
66.71% ( 0.36)	19.25% ( -0.19)	14.03% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

0.48)

41.7% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.9% (

0.48)

64.1% (

-0.48)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

0.23)

11.6% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.42% (

0.51)

36.58% (

-0.51)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25% (

0.05)

41.75% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

0.04)

78.22% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bari 66.71%

Salernitana 14.03%

Draw 19.25%

Bari	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.71%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.25%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 14.03%