Serie B | 1st Leg
May 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
1 - 1
Ternana

Nasti (59')
Bellomo (55'), Nasti (60'), Di Cesare (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereiro (82')
Favasuli (24'), Pereiro (30')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 2-0 Brescia
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ternana
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawTernana
47.19%26.19%26.61%
Both teams to score 49.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78%54.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37%75.62%
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24%56.76%
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71%72.28%
Score Analysis
    Bari 47.19%
    Ternana 26.61%
    Draw 26.19%
BariDrawTernana
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.61%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Bari
3-1
Ternana
Ricci (41'), Nasti (43'), Dorval (83')
Kallon (17')
Diakite (86')
Labojko (55'), Lucchesi (71'), Raimondo (81')
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Ternana
0-0
Bari
Diakite (3'), Falletti (74'), Favasuli (78')
Ricci (50'), Nasti (90+1')
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Ternana
1-0
Bari
Partipilo (19')
Oct 28, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bari
0-0
Ternana
Feb 24, 2018 2pm
Ternana
1-2
Bari
Defendi (11')
Montalto (78')
Henderson (3'), Marrone (63')