Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.