Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Catanzaro
35.4% ( -1.66)	26.53% ( -0.16)	38.08% ( 1.83)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.54% (

0.64)

52.46% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

0.54)

74.13% (

-0.54)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-0.68)

28.39% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

-0.87)

64.13% (

0.88)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

1.36)

26.82% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

1.76)

62.11% (

-1.76)

Score Analysis

Ternana 35.4%

Catanzaro 38.07%

Draw 26.52%

Ternana	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.07%