Serie B | 2nd Leg
May 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Ternana0 - 3Bari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Ternana 1-0 Bari (Ternana win 2-1 on aggregate)
Ternana's last four home games have witnessed not more than one goal — 1-0 wins over Cozenza and Catanzaro either side of a goalless game with Modena and a 1-0 loss to Ascoli — and a similar outcome is expected on Thursday, with the hosts just about edging Bari to retain their Serie B status. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Bari |
33.27% ( 0) | 27.97% ( 0) | 38.76% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
