Serie B | 2nd Leg
May 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
0 - 3
Bari


Dalle Mura (45'), Lucchesi (73'), Luperini (90+4'), Dionisi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Cesare (45+2'), Ricci (52'), Sibilli (65')
Maita (21'), Maiello (22'), Di Cesare (33'), Nasti (61'), Acampora (90')
Bellomo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie B clash between Ternana and Bari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
TernanaDrawBari
33.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)27.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)38.76%
Both teams to score 47.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65%58.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75%69.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 33.27%
    Bari 38.75%
    Draw 27.97%
TernanaDrawBari
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Ternana vs Bari

Ternana
92.3%
Bari
7.7%
39
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 7.30pm
Bari
1-1
Ternana
Nasti (59')
Bellomo (55'), Nasti (60'), Di Cesare (90+5')
Pereiro (82')
Favasuli (24'), Pereiro (30')
Jan 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Bari
3-1
Ternana
Ricci (41'), Nasti (43'), Dorval (83')
Kallon (17')
Diakite (86')
Labojko (55'), Lucchesi (71'), Raimondo (81')
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Ternana
0-0
Bari
Diakite (3'), Falletti (74'), Favasuli (78')
Ricci (50'), Nasti (90+1')
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Ternana
1-0
Bari
Partipilo (19')
Oct 28, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bari
0-0
Ternana