Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.