Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 0
Genoa

Busio (63'), Pohjanpalo (85')
Svoboda (72'), Yeboah (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (30'), Bani (57'), Pinamonti (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Genoa
46.43% ( 0.02)	26.94% ( 0.02)	26.63% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.01% (

-0.11)

56.99% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.11% (

-0.09)

77.89% (

0.09)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

-0.04)

24.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41% (

-0.05)

59% (

0.05)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.1)

37.01% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.09)

73.8% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Venezia 46.42%

Genoa 26.63%

Draw 26.94%

Venezia	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.42%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.63%