/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fvenlog.png)
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Theo Hernandez
2'
-
Youssouf Fofana
16'
-
Christian Pulisic
25'
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Tammy Abraham
29'
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Matteo Gabbia
38'
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Joel Schingtienne
28'
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Hans Nicolussi
67'
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Hans Nicolussi
73'
AC Milan vs Venezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F34%2Frafael-leao.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
64.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
19.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Venezia
15.67%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
41.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
36.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
63.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
19.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
80.57%
▼
(-0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
87.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
12.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
62.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
37.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5
60.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
39.12%
Over 1.5
24.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
75.84%
Score analysis
AC Milan
64.45%
Draw
19.87%
Venezia
15.67%
AC Milan
2-0
@
10.55%
1-0 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 64.45%
1-0 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 64.45%
Draw
1-1
@
9.35%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.87%
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.87%
Venezia
0-1
@
4.42%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.67%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.67%