Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Mainz
Oct 19, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mewa Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Paul Nebel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Xavi Simons 20'
  • goal Willi Orban 37'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 53'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 60'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 89'

Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
St Pauli 0 - 3 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 2.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

Mainz 05 35.79% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 24.22% ▲ (+0.04)
RB Leipzig 39.98% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.47% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.9% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 42.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 35.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 64.5% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 18.64% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 81.36% ▲ (+0.11)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 76.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.22% ▼ (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 78.83% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 21.17% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 45.96% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 54.03% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 35.79%
Draw 24.22%
RB Leipzig 39.98%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.98%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Mainz
  • Castello Lukeba 67' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 20'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 27'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 34'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 70'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Mainz
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT OPEL ARENA
RB Leipzig
  • Anthony Caci 39' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 76' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 80' goal
  • Aymen Barkok 88' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 51'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 9'
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 57'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Mainz
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 45' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Andre Silva 21' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 47' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 58' goal
  • Andre Silva 61' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 16'
  • redcard Alexander Hack 19'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 57'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Mainz
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Moussa Niakhate 13' goal
  • Paul Nebel 48' yellowcard
  • Bo Svensson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 7'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 80'

Form Data

St Pauli 0 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 2 Heidenheim
Augsburg 2 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 2 Werder Bremen
Stuttgart 3 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Heidenheim 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Juventus
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Augsburg
St Pauli 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Atletico 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Union Berlin