Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Levi Colwill 21' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 33' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 70' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 39'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 56'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'

Chelsea vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2024 4.30pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Newcastle 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Chelsea 39.49% (-0.54)
Draw 24.58% (+0.07)
Arsenal 35.93% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.21% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.26% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 43.74% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 33.87% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 66.13% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 17.43% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.57% (+0.19)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 77.88% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 22.12% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 44.51% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 55.49% (+0.57)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 76.03% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 23.97% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 41.8% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 58.21% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Chelsea 39.49%
Draw 24.57%
Arsenal 35.93%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 8.16% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.41% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.39% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 4' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 45' yellowcard
  • Ben White 52' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kai Havertz 65' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Ben White 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 43'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 15' goal
  • Thiago Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 48' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 9'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 11'
  • goal Declan Rice 77'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 84'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 89'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 2, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Martin Odegaard 18' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 31' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 34' goal
  • goal Noni Madueke 65'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 63'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 24, 2022 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 36' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 61' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 66' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 78' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 77'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 77'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Timo Werner 17' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 32' goal
  • Malang Sarr 65' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 84' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 13'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 27'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 57'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+1'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 90'+2'

Build-up

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