Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.