Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
4 - 4
Juventus

Zielinski (15' pen., 37' pen.), Mkhitaryan (35'), Dumfries (53')
Pavard (59'), Dumfries (75')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Vlahovic (20'), Weah (26'), Yildiz (71', 82')
Danilo (52'), Cabal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Derby d'Italia between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
56.25% ( 0.42)	23.18% ( 0.02)	20.57% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 52.04% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

-0.61)

47.74% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.07% (

-0.57)

69.93% (

0.57)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23% (

-0.07)

16.78% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.28% (

-0.12)

46.72% (

0.12)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

-0.79)

37.47% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

-0.79)

74.25% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 56.25%

Juventus 20.57%

Draw 23.17%

Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.25%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.57%