Serie A Gameweek 5
Inter Milan
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 19' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 28' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 40' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 68' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Pulisic 10'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 38'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 89'

Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 7.45pm
Monza 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 7.45pm
AC Milan 4 - 0 Venezia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 54.89% ▼ (-1.00)
Draw 22.34% ▲ (+0.31)
AC Milan 22.77% ▲ (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.62% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 2.5 41.38% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 3.5 36.22% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 3.5 63.77% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 4.5 19.19% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 4.5 80.81% ▲ (+0.44)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 84.99% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 0.5 15.01% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 1.5 56.53% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 43.47% ▲ (+0.99)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 68.2% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 31.8% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 31.77% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 68.23% ▼ (-0.35)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 54.89%
Draw 22.34%
AC Milan 22.77%
Inter Milan
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 54.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.34%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.14)
0-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 22.77%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
AC Milan
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Theo Hernandez 36' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 80' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+3' redcard
  • Davide Calabria 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 18'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 22'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 23'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 32'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 49'
  • redcard Denzel Dumfries 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
Sep 16, 2023 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 38' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 69' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 72' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 79' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+3' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • goal Rafael Leao 57'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 61'
Champions League
Inter Milan
May 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal
Champions League
AC Milan
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Inter Milan
  • goal Edin Dzeko 8'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 11'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 34' goal
Supercoppa Italiana
AC Milan
Jan 18, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • goal Federico Dimarco 10'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 77'

Form Data

Man City 0 - 0 Inter Milan
Monza 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 4 - 0 Atalanta
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Genoa 2 - 2 Inter Milan
Chelsea 1 - 1 Inter Milan
AC Milan 1 - 3 Liverpool
AC Milan 4 - 0 Venezia
Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan
Parma 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 2 Torino
Barcelona 2 - 2 AC Milan

Build-up

Predicted Lineups