Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.