Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Allianz Stadium
Torino2 - 3Lazio
We said: Torino 1-1 Lazio
Two well-matched teams are set to play out a low-scoring draw in Serie A's Sunday lunchtime kickoff. Torino have impressed under new management and may expect to win on home soil, but Lazio have rejuvenated their attack this season and pose any team a real threat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Lazio |
31.88% ( 0.01) | 28.68% ( 0) | 39.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
