Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.