Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
4 - 1
Nice

Pedro (20'), Castellanos (35', 53'), Zaccagni (67' pen.)
Zaccagni (59'), Pellegrini (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Boga (41')
Louchet (19'), Bombito (51'), Bulka (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Torino 2-3 Lazio
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lens 0-0 Nice
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Nice
41.5% ( -2.11)	26.38% ( 0.4)	32.12% ( 1.71)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

-1.04)

52.46% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

-0.9)

74.14% (

0.9)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-1.51)

24.97% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-2.14)

59.61% (

2.15)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

0.65)

30.49% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

0.76)

66.71% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Lazio 41.5%

Nice 32.12%

Draw 26.37%

Lazio	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.12%