Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Ferdi Petit

Lens
0 - 0
Nice

Frankowski (53'), Zaroury (67'), Still (84')

Abdelmonem (28'), Dante (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nice
50.37% ( -0.12)	24.53% ( 0.13)	25.1% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.4% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.31% (

-0.57)

48.69% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

-0.52)

70.8% (

0.51)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.27)

19.34% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87% (

-0.45)

51.12% (

0.44)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

-0.32)

33.79% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.54% (

-0.35)

70.46% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lens 50.36%

Nice 25.1%

Draw 24.53%

Lens	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.1%