Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 42.48% ( | 25.64% ( | 31.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( | 49.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( | 71.49% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( | 23.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( | 57.01% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% ( | 65.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.87% |