Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 47.8% ( | 22.4% ( | 29.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( | 35.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( | 57.48% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( | 15.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( | 44% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( | 23.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( | 57.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 4-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.81% |