Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
2 - 1
Nice

Raveloson (43'), Coulibaly (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cho (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Ipswich 1-0 Nice
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Nice
51.71% ( -0.53)	24.05% ( 0.14)	24.24% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6% (

-0.23)

47.4% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

-0.22)

69.62% (

0.22)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

-0.29)

18.33% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58% (

-0.5)

49.42% (

0.5)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.21)

33.83% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.22)

70.49% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 51.7%

Nice 24.25%

Draw 24.05%

Auxerre	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.7%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.25%