Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 14, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 0
Nice

Maupay (40'), Henrique (53')
Brassier (19'), Rongier (64'), Abdi (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dante (13'), Haise (55'), Cornelius (63'), Rowe (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-4 Nice
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nice
48.64% ( -0.14)	24.4% ( 0.06)	26.96% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.33% (

-0.22)

46.67% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

-0.2)

68.94% (

0.2)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.14)

19.25% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-0.24)

50.97% (

0.23)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

-0.06)

31.22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

-0.06)

67.56% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Marseille 48.64%

Nice 26.96%

Draw 24.39%

Marseille	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.64%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.96%