Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Angers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.