Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 27' redcard
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 44' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 49' yellowcard
  • Shavy Babicka 73' yellowcard
  • Vincent Sierro 82' yellowcard
  • Carles Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Shavy Babicka 90' goal
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 10'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 16'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 17'
  • goal Charlie Cresswell 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 73'

Toulouse vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 4.00pm
Nice 1 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zakaria Aboukhlal

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 2 Reims
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result

Toulouse 27.72% (+0.08)
Draw 26.06% (+0.03)
Marseille 46.22% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.86% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.93% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.07% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 25.35% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 74.65% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 11.58% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 88.42% (+0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 65.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.01% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.69% (-0.03)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 22.93% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 43.3% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 56.7% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Toulouse 27.72%
Draw 26.06%
Marseille 46.22%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.41% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.68% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.54% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.06%
Marseille
0-1 @ 11.48% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.22%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 6.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Moussa Diarra 39' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 45'+2' goal
  • Yann Gboho 82' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 33'
  • goal Jean Onana 38'
  • yellowcard Azzedine Ounahi 47'
  • goal Faris Moumbagna 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 4.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Joaquin Correa 64' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 89' yellowcard
  • Marcelino 80'+80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niklas Schmidt 4'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Desler 45'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 77'
  • yellowcard Guillaume Restes 79'
  • yellowcard Mamady Bangre 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thijs Dallinga 3' goal
  • Ado Onaiwu 87' goal
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 52'
  • goal Cengiz Under 59'
  • goal Nuno Tavares 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2022 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Valentin Rongier 13' goal
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 41' goal
  • Sead Kolasinac 51' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 61' goal
  • Cengiz Under 80' goal
  • Nuno Tavares 82' goal
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orange Velodrome
  • Alvaro Gonzalez 15' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 51' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Victor Makengo 61'
  • yellowcard Issiaga Sylla 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2019 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Ibrahim Sangare 32' yellowcard
  • Steven Moreira 41' redcard
  • Nicolas Isimat-Mirin 63' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 70'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 76'
  • goal Nemanja Radonjic 79'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radonjic 80'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 82'