Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 31, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 3
Marseille

Babicka (90')
Casseres Jr (44'), Donnum (49'), Babicka (73'), Sierro (82'), Martinez (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Greenwood (16', 17'), Cresswell (52' og.)
Hojbjerg (10'), Brassier (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Reims
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Marseille
27.72% ( 0.07)	26.06% ( 0.03)	46.22% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 50.86% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

-0.07)

53.07% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.35% (

-0.06)

74.65% (

0.06)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

0.02)

34.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

0.02)

70.69% (

-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-0.08)

22.93% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.3% (

-0.11)

56.7% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 27.72%

Marseille 46.22%

Draw 26.06%

Toulouse	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.72%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.22%