Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.