Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Lens had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.