Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Paul Audrin

Rennes
1 - 1
Lens

Kalimuendo (24' pen.)
Blas (45'), Hateboer (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

N'Zola (90+6')
Labeau (34'), Medina (74'), Ojediran (77'), Said (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Lens had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lens
43.09% ( -0.2)	24.85% ( 0.23)	32.06% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.05% (

-1.07)

45.95% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

-1.03)

68.26% (

1.02)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-0.54)

21.36% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-0.84)

54.33% (

0.84)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-0.55)

27.3% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26% (

-0.72)

62.74% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Rennes 43.09%

Lens 32.06%

Draw 24.85%

Rennes	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.06%