Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Paul Audrin

Rennes
3 - 0
Montpellier

Blas (24'), Kalimuendo (35'), Gronbaek (60')
Seidu (9')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nzingoula (21'), Nzingoula (79'), Dzodic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Nantes
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
55.87% ( -0.55)	22.69% ( 0.17)	21.44% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.28)

44.54% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.27)

66.91% (

0.27)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

-0.28)

15.78% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.08% (

-0.52)

44.92% (

0.52)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

0.21)

34.79% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

0.22)

71.52% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Rennes 55.86%

Montpellier HSC 21.44%

Draw 22.69%

Rennes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.86%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.69%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.44%