Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Rennes |
| 22.76% ( | 24.15% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( | 71.36% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( | 36.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( | 72.99% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( | 18.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% ( | 49.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-1 @ 5.84% ( 2-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.76% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.26% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.07% |