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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Lyon

Lens
0 - 0
Lyon

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Strasbourg
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLyon
50.49% (-0.171 -0.17)24% (0.0019999999999989 0)25.5% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (0.131 0.13)46.1% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (0.123 0.12)68.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)18.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)49.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.20700000000001 0.21)32.07% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.236 0.24)68.54% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.49%
    Lyon 25.5%
    Draw 24%
LensDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.5%

How you voted: Lens vs Lyon

Lens
70.4%
Draw
19.7%
Lyon
9.9%
71
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lyon
0-3
Lens
Sotoca (43'), Wahi (53' pen.), Danso (87')
Gradit (29'), Danso (83')
Dec 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Lens
3-2
Lyon
Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
O'Brien (15', 72')
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')