Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
4 - 3
Strasbourg

Tolisso (45+2'), Maitland-Niles (61'), Orban (63', 72')
Vinicius (33'), Orban (90+8'), Adryelson (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nanasi (3'), Santos (48'), Emegha (58')
Doue (17'), Senaya (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
49.19% ( -0.06)	24.99% ( -0)	25.81% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.63% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

0.05)

50.02% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

0.05)

72% (

-0.05)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

-0)

20.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

-0.01)

52.75% (

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

0.08)

33.91% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41% (

0.08)

70.58% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Lyon 49.18%

Strasbourg 25.81%

Draw 24.99%

Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.18%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.81%