Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
62.32% ( 0.44) | 22.18% ( -0.18) | 15.5% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.79% ( 0.25) | 51.21% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.95% ( 0.22) | 73.05% ( -0.23) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.08% ( 0.23) | 15.91% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.84% ( 0.43) | 45.16% ( -0.44) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.48% ( -0.21) | 45.51% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.65% ( -0.16) | 81.34% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 62.31% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |