Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Empoli

Zaccagni (45+4'), Pedro (84')
Rovella (45+5'), Castellanos (53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Esposito (9')
Pezzella (29'), Fazzini (31'), Gyasi (78'), Grassi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Nice
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Empoli
62.32% ( 0.44)	22.18% ( -0.18)	15.5% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79% (

0.25)

51.21% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

0.22)

73.05% (

-0.23)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

0.23)

15.91% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84% (

0.43)

45.16% (

-0.44)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.48% (

-0.21)

45.51% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

-0.16)

81.34% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Lazio 62.31%

Empoli 15.5%

Draw 22.17%

Lazio	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 62.31%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.17%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.5%