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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Empoli logo

Lazio
2 - 1
Empoli

Zaccagni (45+4'), Pedro (84')
Rovella (45+5'), Castellanos (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Esposito (9')
Pezzella (29'), Fazzini (31'), Gyasi (78'), Grassi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Nice
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-0 Empoli

With a rejuvenated attack this season, Lazio have both scored and conceded goals in all of their six Serie A matches, so Empoli's clean-sheet streak should end on Sunday. The hosts have built up a head of steam over the past couple of weeks, and only post-Europa League fatigue could stop them from taking care of business. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawEmpoli
62.32% (0.439 0.44) 22.18% (-0.182 -0.18) 15.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (0.254 0.25)51.21% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (0.221 0.22)73.05% (-0.229 -0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (0.23099999999999 0.23)15.91% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (0.43000000000001 0.43)45.16% (-0.437 -0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (-0.207 -0.21)45.51% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (-0.163 -0.16)81.34% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 62.31%
    Empoli 15.5%
    Draw 22.17%
LazioDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.23% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 62.31%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Lazio vs Empoli

Lazio
82.5%
Draw
13.8%
Empoli
3.8%
80
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 36
Lazio
2-0
Empoli
Patric (45+3'), Vecino (89')
Lazzari (77'), Rovella (85'), Romagnoli (90+5')

Gyasi (73')
Dec 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Empoli
0-2
Lazio

Maldini (15'), Fazzini (45+1'), Bastoni (57')
Guendouzi (9'), Zaccagni (67')
Patric (26'), Rovella (46')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
0-2
Lazio

Akpa-Akpro (14'), Cambiaghi (37')
Cambiaghi (89')
Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
Anderson (2'), Zaccagni (54')
Caputo (83'), Marin (90+3')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
3-3
Empoli
Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')
Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Texans
13-21
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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