Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 1
Inter Milan

Cristante (50'), Pisilli (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (60')
Inzaghi (35'), Barella (48'), Darmian (68'), Correa (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Sunday, October 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Torino
Saturday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
31.21% ( -0.97)	24.24% ( -0.35)	44.54% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.49% (

1.22)

43.51% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.1% (

1.19)

65.9% (

-1.19)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-0.02)

26.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

-0.02)

61.87% (

0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

1.09)

19.7% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

1.74)

51.7% (

-1.74)

Score Analysis

Roma 31.21%

Inter Milan 44.54%

Draw 24.24%

Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.21%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.54%