Serie A
Gameweek
8
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-
Bryan Cristante
50'
-
Niccolo Pisilli
62'
-
Simone Inzaghi
35'
-
Nicolo Barella
48'
-
Lautaro Martinez
60'
-
Matteo Darmian
68'
-
Joaquin Correa
78'
Roma vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Roma
31.21%
▼
(-0.98)
Draw
24.24%
▼
(-0.36)
Inter Milan
44.54%
▲
(+1.33)
Both Teams to Score:
58.91%
▲
(+0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.49%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 2.5
43.51%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 3.5
34.1%
▲
(+1.19)
Under 3.5
65.9%
▼
(-1.19)
Over 4.5
17.6%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 4.5
82.4%
▼
(-0.87)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
73.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
26.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
38.13%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
61.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
80.3%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 0.5
19.7%
▼
(-1.09)
Over 1.5
48.3%
▲
(+1.74)
Under 1.5
51.7%
▼
(-1.74)
Score analysis
Roma
31.21%
Draw
24.24%
Inter Milan
44.54%
Roma
2-1
@
7.46%
▼
(-0.16)
1-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.21%
1-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.21%
Draw
1-1
@
11.27%
▼
(-0.24)
2-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
2-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
Inter Milan
1-2
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.13)
0-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.16)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.54%
0-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.16)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.54%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
24
-
Gianluca Mancini
28'
-
Stephan El Shaarawy
44'
-
Gianluca Mancini
47'
-
Dean Huijsen
90'+2'
-
Francesco Acerbi
17'
-
Marcus Thuram
49'
-
Angelino
56'
(OG)
-
Alessandro Bastoni
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
10
-
Benjamin Pavard
33'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
56'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
64'
-
Marcus Thuram
81'
-
Gianluca Mancini
13'
-
Evan N'Dicka
47'
-
Leandro Paredes
50'
-
Bryan Cristante
68'
Serie A
Gameweek
34
-
Federico Dimarco
33'
-
Romelu Lukaku
74'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Federico Dimarco
30'
-
Paulo Dybala
39'
-
Chris Smalling
75'
Serie A
Gameweek
34
-
Denzel Dumfries
30'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
40'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
45'+1'
-
Lautaro Martinez
52'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
87'
-
Gianluca Mancini
36'
-
Sergio Oliveira
79'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
85'
Coppa Italia
-
Edin Dzeko
2'
-
Alexis Sanchez
68'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
37'
-
Gianluca Mancini
38'
-
Jose Mourinho
45'+2'