Europa League
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Boras Arena
  • Ahmed Qasem 36' yellowcard
  • Michael Baidoo 44' goal
  • Niklas Hult 52' yellowcard
  • Arber Zeneli 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Dybala 90'+5'

Elfsborg vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 25, 2024 5.45pm
AZ 3 - 2 Elfsborg

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 26, 2024 8.00pm
Roma 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elfsborg in this match.

Result

Elfsborg 41.73% (-1.30)
Draw 25.34% (-0.06)
Roma 32.93% (+1.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.84% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.18% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 47.82% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 29.99% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 70.01% (-0.63)
Over 4.5 14.67% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 85.33% (-0.43)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5 77.2% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 22.8% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 43.49% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 56.51% (+0.49)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 72.33% (+1.22)
Under 0.5 27.66% (-1.22)
Over 1.5 36.78% (+1.53)
Under 1.5 63.21% (-1.53)

Score analysis

Elfsborg 41.73%
Draw 25.33%
Roma 32.93%
Elfsborg
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
Roma
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.7% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.3% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.44% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.16)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-95.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.93%