Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 1
Venezia

Cristante (75'), Pisilli (83')
Cristante (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pohjanpalo (44')
Idzes (39'), Candela (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Venezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Roma	Draw	Venezia
60.15% ( 0.2)	21.08% ( -0.09)	18.77% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

0.24)

41.06% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.54% (

0.24)

63.46% (

-0.23)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.74% (

0.14)

13.26% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.95% (

0.27)

40.05% (

-0.27)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51% (

0.02)

35.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

0.02)

72.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Roma 60.15%

Venezia 18.77%

Draw 21.08%

Roma	Draw	Venezia
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.08%	1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 18.77%