Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Dovbyk (19'), Dybala (49' pen.), Baldanzi (70')
Pisilli (31'), Cristante (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucca (3'), Kristensen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Udinese
51.71% ( 0.11)	25.09% ( 0.03)	23.19% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

-0.23)

52.63% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

-0.2)

74.28% (

0.2)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

-0.05)

20.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

-0.07)

52.75% (

0.07)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

-0.26)

37.65% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57% (

-0.25)

74.43% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Roma 51.71%

Udinese 23.19%

Draw 25.09%

Roma	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.71%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.19%