Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.