Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 0
Monza

Politano (22'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
Kvaratskhelia (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maldini (24'), Izzo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 5-0 Palermo
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 3-1 Brescia
Thursday, September 26 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Monza
72.79% ( 1.67)	17.33% ( -0.51)	9.88% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 44.55% (

-2.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

-1.07)

43.78% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

-1.06)

66.17% (

1.06)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.41% (

0.14)

10.59% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.64% (

0.31)

34.36% (

-0.31)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.82% (

-2.94)

50.18% (

2.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.22% (

-2.12)

84.78% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Napoli 72.77%

Monza 9.89%

Draw 17.33%

Napoli	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.77) 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.61) 3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 72.77%	1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.33%	0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.89%