/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
-
Matteo Politano
22'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
26'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
33'
-
Daniel Maldini
24'
-
Armando Izzo
36'
Napoli vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fromelu-lukaku.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
Result
Napoli
72.79%
▲
(+1.68)
Draw
17.33%
▼
(-0.51)
Monza
9.88%
▼
(-1.17)
Both Teams to Score:
44.55%
▼
(-2.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.21%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 2.5
43.78%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 3.5
33.83%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 3.5
66.17%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 4.5
17.4%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 4.5
82.6%
▲
(+0.79)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
89.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
10.59%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
65.64%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
34.36%
▼
(-0.32)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
49.82%
▼
(-2.94)
Under 0.5
50.18%
▲
(+2.95)
Over 1.5
15.22%
▼
(-2.12)
Under 1.5
84.78%
▲
(+2.12)
Score analysis
Napoli
72.77%
Draw
17.33%
Monza
9.89%
Napoli
2-0
@
13.39%
▲
(+0.78)
1-0 @ 11.92% ▲ (+0.61)
3-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.63)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.39)
4-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.26)
5-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 72.77%
1-0 @ 11.92% ▲ (+0.61)
3-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.63)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.39)
4-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.26)
5-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 72.77%
Draw
1-1
@
8.23%
▼
(-0.26)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.33%
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.33%
Monza
0-1
@
3.66%
▼
(-0.14)
1-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 9.89%
1-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 9.89%
Head to Head
-
Juan Jesus
66'
-
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
67'
-
Gianluca Gaetano
80'
-
Walter Mazzarri
81'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
82'
-
Walter Mazzarri
83'
-
Pedro Pereira
32'
-
Raffaele Palladino
33'
-
Samuele Birindelli
50'
-
Giorgio Cittadini
79'
-
Warren Bondo
82'
-
Mirko Maric
90'+5'