/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Cyril Ngonge
7'
-
Cyril Ngonge
12'
-
Juan Jesus
42'
-
David Neres
70'
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Scott McTominay
77'
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Rafa Marin
86'
-
Aljosa Vasic
59'
Napoli vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
63.39%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
20.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Palermo
16.06%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
52.14%
▼
(-0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.61%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
43.39%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
34.22%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
65.78%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
17.68%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
82.31%
▲
(+0.12)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
86.96%
Under 0.5
13.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
60.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
39.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5
59.96%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
40.04%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
23.31%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
76.69%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Napoli
63.38%
Draw
20.55%
Palermo
16.06%
Napoli
2-0
@
10.83%
▲
(+0.08)
1-0 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 63.38%
1-0 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 63.38%
Draw
1-1
@
9.73%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.55%
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.55%
Palermo
0-1
@
4.78%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.06%
1-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.06%