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Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
5 - 0
Palermo

Ngonge (7', 12'), Jesus (42'), Neres (70'), McTominay (77')
Marin (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Vasic (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Napoli and Palermo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Napoli
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Palermo

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Palermo 0-0 Cesena
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawPalermo
63.39% (0.156 0.16)20.55% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.06% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61% (-0.152 -0.15)43.39% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)65.78% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96%13.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.262 -0.26)40.04% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (-0.242 -0.24)76.69% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 63.38%
    Palermo 16.06%
    Draw 20.55%
NapoliDrawPalermo
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.55%
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Napoli vs Palermo

Napoli
87.0%
Draw
11.7%
Palermo
1.3%
77
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2017 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Palermo
Mertens (66')
Nestorovski (6')
Quaison (23'), Henrique (32'), Jajalo (65')
Goldaniga (90')
Sep 10, 2016 7.45pm
Palermo
0-3
Napoli
Hamsik (47'), Callejon (51', 66')
Mar 13, 2016 7.45pm
Palermo
0-1
Napoli

Chochev (52'), Quaison (84')
Higuain (23' pen.)
Albiol (75'), Lopez (94')
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
Napoli
2-0
Palermo
Higuain (39'), Mertens (80')
> Match Report
Feb 14, 2015 7.45pm
Palermo
3-1
Napoli
> Match Report