Monza
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Brescia logo

Monza
3 - 1
Brescia

Kiriakopoulos (5'), Pessina (11'), Caprari (40' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Amoako Nuamah (68')
Paghera (33'), Papetti (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Monza and Brescia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Brescia

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Pisa 2-1 Brescia
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawBrescia
42.56% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)26.28% (0.114 0.11)31.15% (0.516 0.52)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (-0.284 -0.28)52.36% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.246 -0.25)74.04% (0.242 0.24)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (-0.44 -0.44)24.38% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (-0.624 -0.62)58.79% (0.62 0.62)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.214 0.21)31.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.25 0.25)67.42% (-0.254 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Monza 42.55%
    Brescia 31.16%
    Draw 26.27%
MonzaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Monza vs Brescia

Monza
72.5%
Draw
19.6%
Brescia
7.8%
51
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 8pm
Monza
2-1
Brescia
Mancuso (70'), D'Alessandro (90+4')
Tramoni (7')
Huard (74')
> Preview
May 18, 2022 7pm
Brescia
1-2
Monza
Moreo (7')
van de Looi (17'), Leris (90+3')
Gytkjaer (44', 56')
Pepin (59'), Marrone (80'), Barberis (82')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
1-1
Brescia
Pepin (49')
Augusto (45+3'), Molina (84')
Bisoli (81')
Sabelli (45+3')
Dec 5, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Brescia
0-2
Monza

Bertagnoli (90+4')
Gytkjaer (40'), Pepin (55')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Monza
0-2
Brescia

Bellusci (48'), Frattesi (82')
Bellusci (60')
Aye (69'), Mangraviti (78')
Ndoj (44')