/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog.png)
-
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
5'
-
Matteo Pessina
11'
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Gianluca Caprari
40'
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Fabrizio Paghera
33'
-
Andrea Papetti
38'
-
Patrick Amoako Nuamah
68'
Monza vs Brescia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fmatteo-pessina.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result
Monza
42.56%
▼
(-0.64)
Draw
26.28%
▲
(+0.12)
Brescia
31.15%
▲
(+0.52)
Both Teams to Score:
52.1%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.64%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
52.36%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 3.5
25.95%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
74.04%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
11.96%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
88.03%
▲
(+0.16)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
75.62%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 0.5
24.38%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
41.21%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
58.79%
▲
(+0.62)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5
68.9%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
31.09%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
32.58%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
67.42%
▼
(-0.26)
Score analysis
Monza
42.55%
Draw
26.27%
Brescia
31.16%
Monza
1-0
@
10.69%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.55%
2-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.55%
Draw
1-1
@
12.49%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.27%
0-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.27%
Brescia
0-1
@
8.86%
▲
(+0.16)
1-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.16%
1-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.16%
