Inter Milan4 - 0Red Star
Mkhitaryan (15'), de Vrij (48')
Elsnik (69')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
for
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Red Star Belgrade
With a record of nine wins from their last 13 Champions League home matches, Inter start strong favourites to take maximum points in Milan. Buoyed by a win at the weekend, the Nerazzurri should be back to somewhere near their best, ready to take advantage of Red Star's away-day woes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
55.78% ( 0.04) | 21.81% ( -0) | 22.41% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
