/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Farselog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fshaklog.png)
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Dmytro Riznyk
29'
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Ben White
34'
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Gabriel Martinelli
84'
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Pedrinho
90'+6'
Arsenal vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
65.22%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
20.04%
▲
(+0.03)
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.73%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
43.76%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
33.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
66.15%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
17.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
82.59%
▲
(+0.04)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
87.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
12.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
61.25%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
38.75%
▲
(+0.07)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
57.96%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
42.04%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
21.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
78.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Arsenal
65.21%
Draw
20.04%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.73%
Arsenal
2-0
@
11.36%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94%
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 65.21%
1-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94%
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 65.21%
Draw
1-1
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.04%
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.04%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
@
4.6%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.73%
1-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.73%
Build-up
News
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News
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News