Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.