Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	LNZ Cherkasy
68.86% ( -8.51)	18.79% ( 3.71)	12.34% ( 4.81)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

6.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

-2.2)

43.64% (

2.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

-2.19)

66.03% (

2.2)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.42% (

-2.71)

11.58% (

2.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.46% (

-6.2)

36.54% (

6.2)

LNZ Cherkasy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

8.41)

45.59% (

-8.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

5.88)

81.4% (

-5.87)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 68.85%

LNZ Cherkasy 12.34%

Draw 18.79%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	LNZ Cherkasy
2-0 @ 12.26% ( -1.79) 1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.98) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( -2.53) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.75% ( -2.13) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.57) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -1.28) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.5% Total : 68.85%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 1.79) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 1.12) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.79%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( 1.2) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 1.31) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.72) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.47) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.34%