Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.