Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.