Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 8.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.76%) and 3-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.