Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 6.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.03%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
80.47% ( 0)	13.28% ( -0)	6.24% ( -0)

Both teams to score 41.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62% (

37.99% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74% (

60.26% (

-0.01)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.61% (

7.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.38% (

26.61% (

-0)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.75% (

-0)

55.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.97% (

88.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 80.45%

Chornomorets Odesa 6.24%

Draw 13.28%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
2-0 @ 13.84% 3-0 @ 12.03% 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-1 @ 4.65% 5-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.27% Total : 80.45%	1-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.46% Total : 13.28%	0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 1.95% Total : 6.24%