Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Karpaty Lviv in this match.