Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
1 - 4
Polissya

Butko (45+4')
Kysyl (79')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Nazarenko (3' pen.), Paixao Souza (8'), Hutsuliak (35'), Lednev (90+5')
Hutsuliak (4'), Makouana (81'), Paixao Souza (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Livyi Bereh 1-0 Chornomorets
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 4-0 Obolon
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
26.67% (-0.212 -0.21)24.41% (-0.026 -0.03)48.91% (0.245 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)46.95% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-0.038 -0.04)69.2% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.18799999999999 -0.19)31.59% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.219 -0.22)67.99% (0.224 0.22)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75% (0.084999999999994 0.08)19.25% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03% (0.136 0.14)50.97% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 26.67%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 48.91%
    Draw 24.41%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.058000000000002 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.53% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 48.91%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Polissya
1-4
Chornomorets
Kushnirenko (74')
Kozak (45'), Kushnirenko (63'), Boyko (82'), Costa (82')
Kushnirenko (78')
Avagimian (53', 60', 64'), Kuzyk (90')
Avagimian (82')
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 7
Chornomorets
1-0
Polissya
Vasyliev (13')
Boychuk (67'), Sporn (84')

Shabanov (39'), Smoliakov (73'), Boyko (81'), Grytsuk (81'), Tankovskiy (90+1')