Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livyi Bereh win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livyi Bereh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livyi Bereh in this match.