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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
3 - 0
Metalist Kharkiv

Vasyliev (45'), Shtohrin (52'), Boychuk (59')
Salyuk (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Samuel (51'), Bychek (64'), Bychek (69')
Bezuglyy (21')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Metalist Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 3-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 3-2 Vorskla
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawMetalist Kharkiv
33.8% (0.47 0.47) 25.98% (-0.333 -0.33) 40.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.94% (1.199 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (1.491 1.49)50.39% (-1.488 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (1.307 1.31)72.32% (-1.305 -1.31)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (1.03 1.03)28.37% (-1.029 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (1.28 1.28)64.11% (-1.278 -1.28)
Metalist Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.60300000000001 0.6)24.7% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (0.833 0.83)59.24% (-0.832 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 33.8%
    Metalist Kharkiv 40.22%
    Draw 25.97%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawMetalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.135 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.431 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.173 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.22%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Metalist Kharkiv
2-1
Chornomorets
Boryachuk (53'), Moura (78')
Remenyuk (12'), Sydorov (63'), Chyruk (89')
Shtohrin (20')
Iyede (9'), Putria (41')
Iyede (41')
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 17
Chornomorets
1-1
Metalist Kharkiv
Alefirenko (9')
Vachiberadze (20')
Aug 27, 2022 1pm
Dec 12, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 14
Chornomorets
2-1
Metalist Kharkiv
Avagimian (3'), Kravchenko (5')
Marlyson (57' pen.)
Tkachuk (33'), Savin (70'), Shershen (79'), Chenbay (85')
Aug 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Metalist Kharkiv
3-2
Chornomorets
Batyushin (23'), Golodyuk (64'), Dubko (66' og.)
Zaderaka (85')
Buhai (17', 43')
Vanat (27')
rhs 2.0
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