Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2024 at 11am UK
Tsentralnyi Stadion

Polissya
4 - 0
Obolon

Nazarenko (19', 39', 49'), Hutsuliak (23')
Chobotenko (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bliznichenko (45+4'), Vitenchuk (82')
Grysjo (54')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Polissya Zhytomyr and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 1-1 Inhulets
Saturday, August 17 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 2-0 Obolon
Friday, August 16 at 4.35pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.

Result
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawObolon Kyiv
48.02% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)27.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99% (0.023000000000003 0.02)62.01% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (0.017000000000003 0.02)81.74% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.02% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)61.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83% (0.07 0.07)42.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.58% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Polissya Zhytomyr 48.02%
    Obolon Kyiv 24.02%
    Draw 27.94%
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 14.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.02%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 21
Obolon
1-0
Polissya
Chernenko (10')
Prokopenko (7'), Chernenko (23'), Dubko (44'), Grysjo (58'), Pryymak (70'), Medynskyi (84')

Kozak (50'), Tankovskiy (51'), Mykhaylichenko (56'), Fortune (57')
Chobotenko (2')
Sep 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Polissya
2-0
Obolon
Grytsuk (90+7' pen.), Kozak (90+9')
Budkivskyi (22'), Smoliakov (35')

Moroz (33'), Taranukha (79')
Moroz (90+5')